Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.006392 0.007128 0.007929 0.008869 0.009943 0.011137 0.012568
2025-06-01 0.005164 0.006154 0.007320 0.008806 0.010664 0.012928 0.015927
2025-06-08 0.004362 0.005422 0.006736 0.008504 0.010849 0.013895 0.018221
2025-06-15 0.003915 0.005035 0.006483 0.008520 0.011362 0.015261 0.021147
2025-06-22 0.003675 0.004872 0.006478 0.008831 0.012269 0.017232 0.025171
2025-06-29 0.003324 0.004515 0.006159 0.008651 0.012431 0.018123 0.027688
2025-07-06 0.003031 0.004205 0.005869 0.008466 0.012544 0.018925 0.030146
2025-07-13 0.002830 0.004006 0.005715 0.008459 0.012913 0.020152 0.033471
2025-07-20 0.002713 0.003917 0.005712 0.008677 0.013654 0.022063 0.038282
2025-07-27 0.002538 0.003727 0.005535 0.008595 0.013879 0.023112 0.041666
2025-08-03 0.002401 0.003581 0.005414 0.008588 0.014227 0.024408 0.045726
2025-08-10 0.002254 0.003410 0.005236 0.008467 0.014351 0.025300 0.049106
2025-08-17 0.002153 0.003311 0.005177 0.008559 0.014902 0.027130 0.054942
2025-08-24 0.002031 0.003168 0.005036 0.008496 0.015164 0.028443 0.059952
2025-08-31 0.001881 0.002969 0.004784 0.008207 0.014950 0.028752 0.062689
2025-09-07 0.001796 0.002874 0.004702 0.008222 0.015339 0.030379 0.068952
2025-09-14 0.001762 0.002863 0.004766 0.008520 0.016337 0.033480 0.079685
2025-09-21 0.001661 0.002727 0.004597 0.008347 0.016325 0.034292 0.084511
2025-09-28 0.001567 0.002600 0.004434 0.008171 0.016282 0.035027 0.089300
2025-10-05 0.001504 0.002523 0.004358 0.008164 0.016614 0.036711 0.097273
2025-10-12 0.001473 0.002502 0.004386 0.008372 0.017457 0.039801 0.110390
2025-10-19 0.001409 0.002415 0.004282 0.008293 0.017621 0.041172 0.118403
2025-10-26 0.001357 0.002350 0.004215 0.008287 0.017958 0.043057 0.128695